El Geish 1-0 Pharco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - League Cup, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.44
Over 2.5
34%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.97
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
6.09
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.7pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.8pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Geish EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Pharco EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Geish
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Pharco
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.77 xG 0.88
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
234 Passes 292
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2025 Pharco Pharco 0-1 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
26.01.2025 El Geish El Geish 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
20.07.2024 El Geish El Geish 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
25.02.2024 Pharco Pharco 1-1 HT 1-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
16.05.2023 El Geish El Geish 2-2 HT 1-1 Pharco Pharco MSR
04.01.2023 Pharco Pharco 1-1 HT 1-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Geish
1-0
AWAY Pharco
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH El Geish vs Pharco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Geish nicked a narrow win over Pharco 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; El Geish found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, El Geish had 45% of the ball to Pharco's 55%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Geish had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for El Geish and 0.67 for Pharco.

What was the final score of El Geish vs Pharco?

El Geish 1-0 Pharco in the Egypt - League Cup on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Geish vs Pharco?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Geish win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split El Geish 40%, draw 32%, Pharco 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Geish), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (El Geish) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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