Manchester United (K) 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.63
Over 2.5
63%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.99
No
42%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
77%
-10.0pp
21%
Draw
14%
+6.4pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+3.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
34%
+2.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
66%
-2.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
46%
+11.4pp
42%
BTTS No
54%
-11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +72% / +72%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +97%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
459 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
4.50 xG 0.07
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
429 Passes 244
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 2-2 HT 1-0 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
24.11.2019 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United (K)
2-0
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
1.17 xG 0.31
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
393 Passes 341
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manchester United (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United (K) beat Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester United (K) as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Manchester United (K) had 53% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion (K)'s 47%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 1.17 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Manchester United (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Manchester United (K) and 1.00 for Brighton & Hove Albion (K).

What was the final score of Manchester United (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Manchester United (K) 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Manchester United (K) 67%, draw 21%, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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