La Union Atletico 1-3 Sevilla II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.9pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.8pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla II EU Bookmakers 46%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.25/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.48
+21% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -41%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
241 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 477 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Union Atletico
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sevilla II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Sevilla II Sevilla II 2-0 HT 1-0 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Union Atletico
1-3
AWAY Sevilla II
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH La Union Atletico vs Sevilla II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla II saw off La Union Atletico 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sevilla II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, La Union Atletico had 52% of the ball to Sevilla II's 48%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of La Union Atletico vs Sevilla II?

La Union Atletico 1-3 Sevilla II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Union Atletico vs Sevilla II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sevilla II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split La Union Atletico 33%, draw 25%, Sevilla II 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sevilla II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sevilla II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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