Baden vs Bellinzona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Baden v Bellinzona — Team-Based Signals
Baden vs Bellinzona Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Baden
İSV2
1-1
HT 1-1
Bellinzona
İSV2
Baden 2-1 Bellinzona — Actual Match Statistics
Baden edged past Bellinzona 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (32% / 35% / 33%) promised a tight game; Baden found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Baden had 51% of the ball to Bellinzona's 49%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.47 to 0.80.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bellinzona led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Baden and 2.00 for Bellinzona.
What was the final score of Baden vs Bellinzona?
Baden 2-1 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Baden vs Bellinzona?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Baden 32%, draw 35%, Bellinzona 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.