Vaduz 5-3 Neuchatel Xamax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 4 Feb 2024

Vaduz
5-3 HT 3-0
Neuchatel Xamax
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2023/2024

Vaduz vs Neuchatel Xamax Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.93
6+ Goals
9%
8.74
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.36 — our 28% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.0pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vaduz v Neuchatel Xamax — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vaduz EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.59/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.80
-18% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
11.4 Crosses 27.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3

Vaduz vs Neuchatel Xamax Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vaduz
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 1.09
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
280 Passes 356
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.12.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 0-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
27.08.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 1-1 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
26.02.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 1-2 HT 1-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
06.11.2022 Vaduz Vaduz 1-1 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
11.09.2022 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 1-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
22.04.2022 Vaduz Vaduz 2-0 HT 2-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2

Vaduz 5-3 Neuchatel Xamax — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vaduz
5-3
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
2.53 xG 2.63
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
191 Passes 342
65% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vaduz vs Neuchatel Xamax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vaduz beat Neuchatel Xamax 5-3. Half-time: 3-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Vaduz made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vaduz had 39% of the ball to Neuchatel Xamax's 61%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 2.53 to 2.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vaduz and 1.00 for Neuchatel Xamax.

What was the final score of Vaduz vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Vaduz 5-3 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland Challenge League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vaduz vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vaduz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vaduz 38%, draw 28%, Neuchatel Xamax 34%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vaduz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vaduz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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