AS Roma U19 1-4 Monza U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.3pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.9pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Roma U19 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza U19 EU Bookmakers 21%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.24/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.99
-14% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Roma U19
1-4
AWAY Monza U19
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH AS Roma U19 vs Monza U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monza U19 swept aside AS Roma U19 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was AS Roma U19 at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, AS Roma U19 had 40% of the ball to Monza U19's 60%, shots finished 5-17.

What was the final score of AS Roma U19 vs Monza U19?

AS Roma U19 1-4 Monza U19 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Roma U19 vs Monza U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Roma U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split AS Roma U19 51%, draw 24%, Monza U19 25%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AS Roma U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AS Roma U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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