Cagliari U19 1-3 Milan U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cagliari U19 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan U19 EU Bookmakers 51%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -63% / -63%
1.51/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.32
+7% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -79% / +32%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
199 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cagliari U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Milan U19
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2023 Milan U19 Milan U19 2-4 HT 0-0 Cagliari U19 Cagliari U19 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagliari U19
1-3
AWAY Milan U19
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cagliari U19 vs Milan U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan U19 got the better of Cagliari U19 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Milan U19 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cagliari U19 had 51% of the ball to Milan U19's 49%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Cagliari U19 vs Milan U19?

Cagliari U19 1-3 Milan U19 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cagliari U19 vs Milan U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milan U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cagliari U19 28%, draw 24%, Milan U19 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan U19), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Milan U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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