Roma (K) 3-1 Juventus (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.63
No
57%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
57%
-14.1pp
57%
BTTS No
43%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma (K)
3-1
AWAY Juventus (K)
1.96 xG 1.73
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 23
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 11
265 Passes 230
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 35
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Roma (K) vs Juventus (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) beat Juventus (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Roma (K) had 51% of the ball to Juventus (K)'s 49%, shots finished 15-23, expected goals 1.96 to 1.73.

What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Juventus (K)?

Roma (K) 3-1 Juventus (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Juventus (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 43%, draw 29%, Juventus (K) 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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