Elversberg 2-1 Kaiserslautern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
9.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.94
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
19%
5.06
X/2
14%
6.66
X/X
10%
5.16
2/1
6%
23.45
2/2
13%
4.32
2/X
8%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elversberg EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 34%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.08/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.45
-1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 72%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
18.7 Crosses 19.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elversberg
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Kaiserslautern
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.19 xG 2.39
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 4
393 Passes 243
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 3-2 HT 1-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
18.07.2018 Elversberg Elversberg 2-3 HT 1-2 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elversberg
2-1
AWAY Kaiserslautern
1.71 xG 0.84
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
213 Passes 309
63% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Elversberg vs Kaiserslautern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elversberg nicked a narrow win over Kaiserslautern 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Elversberg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Elversberg had 44% of the ball to Kaiserslautern's 56%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.71 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kaiserslautern led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Elversberg and 3.00 for Kaiserslautern.

What was the final score of Elversberg vs Kaiserslautern?

Elversberg 2-1 Kaiserslautern in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elversberg vs Kaiserslautern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Elversberg 40%, draw 26%, Kaiserslautern 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elversberg), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elversberg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
4 Feb 2024
15:30 Paderborn vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Analysis →
15:30 Hannover 96 vs Hansa Rostock Analysis →