Deportivo Riestra 0-1 Barracas Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.38
Over 2.5
34%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
15%
6.82
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.72
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
15.15
X/1
10%
4.66
X/2
12%
5.7
X/X
12%
3.23
2/1
10%
34.0
2/2
8%
4.92
2/X
8%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.6pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.0pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
69%
-3.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
31%
+3.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.1pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
Crosses 17.3
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Riestra
0-1
AWAY Barracas Central
0.55 xG 1.51
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
168 Passes 315
55% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 18
POST-MATCH Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barracas Central nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Riestra 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Riestra at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Riestra had 41% of the ball to Barracas Central's 59%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.55 to 1.51.

What was the final score of Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central?

Deportivo Riestra 0-1 Barracas Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Riestra win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Riestra 45%, draw 29%, Barracas Central 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Riestra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Riestra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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