Çivril Belediyespor 0-2 Denizli Sarayköy Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Regional Amateur League, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
5.91
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
40%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
Over Pick
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
35%
4-5
30%
6+
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
14%
+26.5pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.7pp
40%
Away Win
66%
-25.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çivril Belediyespor The Market 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Denizli Sarayköy Spor The Market 70%
+66% / +66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Çivril Belediyespor vs Denizli Sarayköy Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denizli Sarayköy Spor beat Çivril Belediyespor 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 19% / 40%) promised a tight game; Denizli Sarayköy Spor found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Çivril Belediyespor vs Denizli Sarayköy Spor?

Çivril Belediyespor 0-2 Denizli Sarayköy Spor in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çivril Belediyespor vs Denizli Sarayköy Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çivril Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Çivril Belediyespor 40%, draw 19%, Denizli Sarayköy Spor 40%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (40/19/40) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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