PSM Makassar 4-0 Persita Tangerang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
24%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
42%
+8.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
24%
Away Win
30%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Persita Tangerang EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.51/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.37
+12% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
315 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSM Makassar
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Persita Tangerang
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
248 Passes 436
07.08.2023 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 0-1 HT 0-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
19.02.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 0-2 HT 0-1 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
01.11.2021 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 0-3 HT 0-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
06.03.2020 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 1-1 HT 0-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSM Makassar
4-0
AWAY Persita Tangerang
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 6
9 Corners 4
POST-MATCH PSM Makassar vs Persita Tangerang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSM Makassar swept aside Persita Tangerang 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSM Makassar as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, PSM Makassar had 38% of the ball to Persita Tangerang's 62%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, PSM Makassar had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for PSM Makassar and 0.75 for Persita Tangerang.

What was the final score of PSM Makassar vs Persita Tangerang?

PSM Makassar 4-0 Persita Tangerang in the Indonesia League 1 on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSM Makassar vs Persita Tangerang?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split PSM Makassar 51%, draw 25%, Persita Tangerang 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSM Makassar), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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