America de Cali 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-10.2pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+7.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.0pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.53/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.53
-4% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 74%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
16.1 Crosses 10.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.42 xG 0.69
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
374 Passes 222
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.09.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
23.03.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 2-1 HT 1-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
21.08.2021 America de Cali America de Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
04.03.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
12.10.2020 America de Cali America de Cali 3-0 HT 2-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
26.07.2019 America de Cali America de Cali 1-1 HT 0-1 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
1-0
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.08 xG 0.59
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
370 Passes 196
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Patriotas Boyaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali edged past Patriotas Boyaca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, America de Cali had 62% of the ball to Patriotas Boyaca's 38%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 1.08 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for America de Cali and 0.50 for Patriotas Boyaca.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Patriotas Boyaca?

America de Cali 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca in the Colombia - Primera on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 60%, draw 22%, Patriotas Boyaca 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
4 Feb 2024
02:00 Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios Analysis →