Deportes Tolima 2-0 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.16/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.15
+9% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
16.8 Crosses 13.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Tolima
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Millonarios
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.67 xG 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
320 Passes 342
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
08.08.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
30.03.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
23.10.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
09.05.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
10.12.2021 Millonarios Millonarios 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
06.12.2021 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-1 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Tolima
2-0
AWAY Millonarios
1.95 xG 0.66
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
384 Passes 359
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 24
POST-MATCH Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima beat Millonarios 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Deportes Tolima had 51% of the ball to Millonarios's 49%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.95 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportes Tolima and 0.67 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios?

Deportes Tolima 2-0 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 43%, draw 28%, Millonarios 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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