Mezokövesd-Zsory 0-3 Kecskemeti TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 26% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mezokövesd-Zsory EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
0.93/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.25
-18% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 77%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
16.0 Crosses 16.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mezokövesd-Zsory
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.81 xG 1.13
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
323 Passes 421
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 0-2 HT 0-0 Mezokövesd-Zsory Mezokövesd-Zsory MAC
02.04.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 0-1 HT 0-0 Mezokövesd-Zsory Mezokövesd-Zsory MAC
05.11.2022 Mezokövesd-Zsory Mezokövesd-Zsory 2-1 HT 2-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
13.08.2022 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-0 HT 1-0 Mezokövesd-Zsory Mezokövesd-Zsory MAC
01.03.2014 Mezokövesd-Zsory Mezokövesd-Zsory 0-1 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
10.08.2013 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-6 HT 1-4 Mezokövesd-Zsory Mezokövesd-Zsory MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mezokövesd-Zsory
0-3
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
0.56 xG 1.89
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
482 Passes 290
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mezokövesd-Zsory vs Kecskemeti TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kecskemeti TE ran out comfortable winners over Mezokövesd-Zsory 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Kecskemeti TE found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mezokövesd-Zsory had 60% of the ball to Kecskemeti TE's 40%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.56 to 1.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mezokövesd-Zsory had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mezokövesd-Zsory and 0.83 for Kecskemeti TE.

What was the final score of Mezokövesd-Zsory vs Kecskemeti TE?

Mezokövesd-Zsory 0-3 Kecskemeti TE in the Hungary - NB I on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mezokövesd-Zsory vs Kecskemeti TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mezokövesd-Zsory win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mezokövesd-Zsory 39%, draw 26%, Kecskemeti TE 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Mezokövesd-Zsory), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mezokövesd-Zsory) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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