Paksi SE 2-1 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 4 Feb 2024

Paksi SE
2-1 HT 1-0
Puskas FC
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

Paksi SE vs Puskas FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paksi SE v Puskas FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.23/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/2.89
+28% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
452 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
22.5 Crosses 26.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

Paksi SE vs Puskas FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Puskas FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.18 xG 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
250 Passes 354
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
19.05.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 0-2 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
25.02.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-4 HT 1-2 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
09.10.2022 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-3 HT 1-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
11.03.2022 Puskas FC Puskas FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
20.11.2021 Paksi SE Paksi SE 4-1 HT 3-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC

Paksi SE 2-1 Puskas FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
2-1
AWAY Puskas FC
2.44 xG 1.88
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
167 Passes 271
56% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 37
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE nicked a narrow win over Puskas FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paksi SE as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Paksi SE had 42% of the ball to Puskas FC's 58%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 2.44 to 1.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Paksi SE and 1.50 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Puskas FC?

Paksi SE 2-1 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 44%, draw 24%, Puskas FC 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paksi SE), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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