Alianza Atletico 0-2 Alianza Lima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-4.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.7pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 52%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +25%
1.12/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.79
-25% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +98%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
230 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
13.1 Crosses 20.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Atletico
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.98 xG 1.35
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
215 Passes 342
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2023 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 1-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
09.04.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
27.07.2022 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
27.02.2022 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 4-2 HT 2-1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
25.09.2021 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-3 HT 0-1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
12.05.2021 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Atletico
0-2
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.19 xG 1.96
40% Ball Possession 60%
3 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
166 Passes 284
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
6 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alianza Atletico vs Alianza Lima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Lima beat Alianza Atletico 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Alianza Atletico had 40% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 60%, shots finished 3-8, expected goals 0.19 to 1.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alianza Atletico and 1.33 for Alianza Lima.

What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Alianza Lima?

Alianza Atletico 0-2 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Alianza Lima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 29%, draw 27%, Alianza Lima 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Lima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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