Universitario 1-0 Atletico Grau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.28
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-13.9pp
24%
Draw
17%
+6.4pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.5pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 11%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / -2%
1.76/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.57
-2% / +138% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +55%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
443 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 195 · 72%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
21.9 Crosses 13.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Atletico Grau
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.38 xG 0.89
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
249 Passes 277
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 2-2 HT 1-1 Universitario Universitario PER
10.04.2023 Universitario Universitario 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
18.09.2022 Universitario Universitario 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
01.05.2022 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
25.09.2020 Universitario Universitario 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario
1-0
AWAY Atletico Grau
0.96 xG 0.58
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
239 Passes 307
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 7
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Universitario vs Atletico Grau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario edged past Atletico Grau 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Universitario had 45% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 55%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.96 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Universitario and 0.60 for Atletico Grau.

What was the final score of Universitario vs Atletico Grau?

Universitario 1-0 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario vs Atletico Grau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Universitario 60%, draw 24%, Atletico Grau 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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