Universitatea Cluj 1-3 UTA Arad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.18
6+ Goals
8%
20.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.2pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Cluj EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 26%
-10% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.77/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.78
-31% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Cluj
3W-1D-2L
AWAY UTA Arad
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
204 Passes 286
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
27.04.2023 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 1-0 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROK
01.04.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-0 HT 2-0 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
11.12.2022 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 0-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
13.08.2022 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-1 HT 1-1 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
10.02.2021 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 2-1 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Cluj
1-3
AWAY UTA Arad
1.21 xG 2.30
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Universitatea Cluj vs UTA Arad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTA Arad beat Universitatea Cluj 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Universitatea Cluj at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.21 to 2.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Cluj had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Universitatea Cluj and 0.83 for UTA Arad.

What was the final score of Universitatea Cluj vs UTA Arad?

Universitatea Cluj 1-3 UTA Arad in the Romania - 1st Division on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Cluj vs UTA Arad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Cluj win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Cluj 48%, draw 27%, UTA Arad 24%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Cluj) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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4 Feb 2024
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