Erzurumspor FK 2-0 Şanlıurfaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.77
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
4.16
6+ Goals
10%
20.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 36% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.65
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.65
X/1
22%
4.1
X/2
12%
7.31
X/X
16%
4.41
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
7%
5.91
2/X
7%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.3pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.46/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.60
+28% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
22.6 Crosses 15.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzurumspor FK
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.11 xG 0.35
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 6
205 Passes 507
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.09.2023 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
2-0
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
0.59 xG 0.67
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
151 Passes 357
62% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Erzurumspor FK vs Şanlıurfaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK saw off Şanlıurfaspor 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Erzurumspor FK as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Erzurumspor FK had 35% of the ball to Şanlıurfaspor's 65%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.59 to 0.67.

What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Erzurumspor FK 2-0 Şanlıurfaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 47%, draw 29%, Şanlıurfaspor 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzurumspor FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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