Burnley 1-0 Oxford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 4 Feb 2025

Burnley
1-0 HT 1-0
Oxford United
📅04/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Burnley vs Oxford United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.59
Over
38%
2.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.37
2-3
42%
1.74
4-5
17%
4.69
6+
7%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.97
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.2
X/1
16%
3.63
X/2
6%
11.9
X/X
13%
4.48
2/1
10%
29.5
2/2
10%
11.45
2/X
7%
20.95
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Burnley v Oxford United — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Burnley The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford United The Market 18%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.43 Expected Goalsiddaakolik model prediction 0.77
Weak Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Average
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2

Burnley vs Oxford United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Oxford United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.54 xG 0.09
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
573 Passes 221
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Oxford United Oxford United 0-0 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNCL

Burnley 1-0 Oxford United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burnley
1-0
AWAY Oxford United
1.60 xG 0.26
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 3
507 Passes 299
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Burnley vs Oxford United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Burnley nicked a narrow win over Oxford United 1-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Burnley as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) landed.

On the day, possession split 61% to 39% in Burnley's favour, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.60 to 0.26 — on chances created, Burnley won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

Burnley vs Oxford United Result & Final Score

Burnley 1-0 Oxford United in the England - Championship on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Burnley vs Oxford United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Burnley 51%, draw 27%, Oxford United 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burnley), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Burnley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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