Oxford United 0-0 Burnley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 30% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.71
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
13%
14.0
X/1
14%
6.44
X/2
9%
4.65
X/X
8%
4.72
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
21%
2.99
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley EU Bookmakers 48%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +33%
1.36/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.85
+71% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +58%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
13.7 Crosses 11.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford United
0-0
AWAY Burnley
0.09 xG 1.54
30% Ball Possession 70%
3 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
221 Passes 573
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 22
7 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oxford United vs Burnley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford United and Burnley fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Oxford United had 30% of the ball to Burnley's 70%, shots finished 3-14, expected goals 0.09 to 1.54.

What was the final score of Oxford United vs Burnley?

Oxford United 0-0 Burnley in the England - Championship on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford United vs Burnley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 33%, draw 29%, Burnley 38%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Burnley) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burnley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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