Leeds United 3-0 Coventry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 28 Sep 2024

Leeds United
3-0 HT 1-0
Coventry
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Leeds United vs Coventry Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.21
6+ Goals
9%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 29% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.0
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.05
X/1
19%
3.79
X/2
7%
10.6
X/X
11%
5.74
2/1
10%
21.85
2/2
11%
8.16
2/X
8%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leeds United v Coventry — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Coventry EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.90/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.40
-11% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
471 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
34.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
21.7 Crosses 16.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Leeds United vs Coventry Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Coventry
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.84 xG 1.19
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
594 Passes 263
90% Pass Accuracy 77%
50 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Coventry Coventry 2-1 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
16.12.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 1-1 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
14.02.2012 Coventry Coventry 2-1 HT 1-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
18.10.2011 Leeds United Leeds United 1-1 HT 1-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
05.02.2011 Leeds United Leeds United 1-0 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
06.11.2010 Coventry Coventry 2-3 HT 0-2 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL

Leeds United 3-0 Coventry — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United
3-0
AWAY Coventry
1.66 xG 0.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
365 Passes 390
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 8
12 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leeds United vs Coventry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United ran out comfortable winners over Coventry 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leeds United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Leeds United had 48% of the ball to Coventry's 52%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.66 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leeds United and 1.33 for Coventry.

What was the final score of Leeds United vs Coventry?

Leeds United 3-0 Coventry in the England - Championship on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Coventry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 51%, draw 25%, Coventry 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leeds United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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