Coventry 2-1 Leeds United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 6 Apr 2024

Coventry
2-1 HT 1-0
Leeds United
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Coventry vs Leeds United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
8.44
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.5 — our 26% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.84
1/2
8%
22.3
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
11%
7.34
X/2
9%
4.76
X/X
9%
5.49
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
28%
2.66
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.5pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Coventry v Leeds United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United EU Bookmakers 50%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -31%
1.25/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.05
+19% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 82%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
15.4 Crosses 19.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Coventry vs Leeds United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Leeds United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.49 xG 1.65
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
316 Passes 614
82% Pass Accuracy 91%
14 Box Touches 53
3 Crosses 27
5 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 1-1 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
14.02.2012 Coventry Coventry 2-1 HT 1-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
18.10.2011 Leeds United Leeds United 1-1 HT 1-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
05.02.2011 Leeds United Leeds United 1-0 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
06.11.2010 Coventry Coventry 2-3 HT 0-2 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
01.01.2007 Leeds United Leeds United 2-1 HT 1-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL

Coventry 2-1 Leeds United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
2-1
AWAY Leeds United
1.88 xG 2.03
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
210 Passes 573
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 48
11 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Leeds United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coventry squeezed past Leeds United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Leeds United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Coventry had 31% of the ball to Leeds United's 69%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.88 to 2.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Coventry and 1.50 for Leeds United.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Leeds United?

Coventry 2-1 Leeds United in the England - Championship on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Leeds United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Coventry 31%, draw 23%, Leeds United 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Leeds United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leeds United) ✓ Over 2.5
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