Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Queens Park Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 34% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.68
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.4
X/1
14%
4.23
X/2
14%
7.25
X/X
14%
4.62
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
9%
5.66
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.1pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +23%
1.41/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.30
-5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 72%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
17.1 Crosses 17.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackburn Rovers
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.27 xG 0.90
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
340 Passes 355
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-2 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
07.10.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-4 HT 0-2 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
25.02.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-3 HT 1-2 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
30.07.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
26.02.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
19.10.2021 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-0 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackburn Rovers
2-0
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
2.23 xG 0.55
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
584 Passes 263
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Blackburn Rovers vs Queens Park Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers beat Queens Park Rangers 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Blackburn Rovers as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Blackburn Rovers had 65% of the ball to Queens Park Rangers's 35%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.23 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackburn Rovers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Blackburn Rovers and 0.67 for Queens Park Rangers.

What was the final score of Blackburn Rovers vs Queens Park Rangers?

Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Queens Park Rangers in the England - Championship on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackburn Rovers vs Queens Park Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackburn Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Blackburn Rovers 42%, draw 29%, Queens Park Rangers 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackburn Rovers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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