Watford vs Sunderland Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Watford v Sunderland — Team-Based Signals
Watford vs Sunderland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Watford
İNCL
2-2
HT 0-1
Watford
İNCL
2-2
HT 1-1
Sunderland
İNCL
1-0
HT 0-0
Sunderland
İNP
1-0
HT 0-0
Watford
İNP
Watford 2-1 Sunderland — Actual Match Statistics
Watford squeezed past Sunderland 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Sunderland at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Watford had 49% of the ball to Sunderland's 51%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.89 to 1.01.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Watford and 1.17 for Sunderland.
What was the final score of Watford vs Sunderland?
Watford 2-1 Sunderland in the England - Championship on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Watford vs Sunderland?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Watford 32%, draw 26%, Sunderland 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.