Watford vs Sunderland Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Watford v Sunderland — Team-Based Signals
Watford vs Sunderland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Watford
İNCL
2-2
HT 0-1
Watford
İNCL
2-2
HT 1-1
Sunderland
İNCL
1-0
HT 0-0
Sunderland
İNP
1-0
HT 0-0
Watford
İNP
2-2
HT 0-1
Sunderland
İNP
Watford 1-0 Sunderland — Actual Match Statistics
Watford nicked a narrow win over Sunderland 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Watford found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Watford had 46% of the ball to Sunderland's 54%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.40 to 1.53 — on chances, Sunderland could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sunderland led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Watford and 1.50 for Sunderland.
What was the final score of Watford vs Sunderland?
Watford 1-0 Sunderland in the England - Championship on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Watford vs Sunderland?
Before kick-off our model rated a Watford win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Watford 38%, draw 26%, Sunderland 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Watford), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.