Huddersfield Town 1-1 Birmingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 28% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.45
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
10%
12.85
X/1
12%
5.25
X/2
11%
5.91
X/X
13%
4.51
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
12%
4.07
2/X
5%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huddersfield Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.22/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.16
-3% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 70%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
20.8 Crosses 18.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huddersfield Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Birmingham
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.09 xG 1.22
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 Passes 255
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2023 Birmingham Birmingham 4-1 HT 2-0 Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town İNCL
18.02.2023 Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
05.08.2022 Birmingham Birmingham 2-1 HT 2-0 Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town İNCL
26.02.2022 Birmingham Birmingham 0-2 HT 0-2 Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town İNCL
20.10.2021 Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
02.03.2021 Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huddersfield Town
1-1
AWAY Birmingham
1.09 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
273 Passes 238
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 18
37 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Huddersfield Town vs Birmingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huddersfield Town and Birmingham shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Huddersfield Town had 54% of the ball to Birmingham's 46%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.09 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Huddersfield Town and 1.33 for Birmingham.

What was the final score of Huddersfield Town vs Birmingham?

Huddersfield Town 1-1 Birmingham in the England - Championship on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huddersfield Town vs Birmingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huddersfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Huddersfield Town 40%, draw 28%, Birmingham 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Huddersfield Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Huddersfield Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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