Real Sociedad (K) 1-4 Real Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 4 Feb 2025

Real Sociedad (K)
1-4 HT 0-2
Real Madrid (K)
📅04/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar – 2025

Real Sociedad (K) vs Real Madrid (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
5.34
Draw
33%
4.19
Away
33%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
16%
+17.8pp
33%
Draw
20%
+12.8pp
33%
Away Win
64%
-30.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Sociedad (K) v Real Madrid (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
0.59/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.41
+5% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +57%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
10.0 Crosses 17.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Real Sociedad (K) vs Real Madrid (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Real Madrid (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.59 xG 2.09
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
324 Passes 361
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.01.2025 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) 3-2 HT 2-1 Real Sociedad (K) Real Sociedad (K) İSKSK
26.05.2024 Real Sociedad (K) Real Sociedad (K) 1-2 HT 1-2 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar

Real Sociedad (K) 1-4 Real Madrid (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad (K)
1-4
AWAY Real Madrid (K)
1.02 xG 1.58
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 1
377 Passes 334
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad (K) vs Real Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) swept aside Real Sociedad (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Real Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Sociedad (K) had 53% of the ball to Real Madrid (K)'s 47%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.02 to 1.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Madrid (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Sociedad (K) and 2.50 for Real Madrid (K).

What was the final score of Real Sociedad (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Real Sociedad (K) 1-4 Real Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad (K) 33%, draw 33%, Real Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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