Al Hilal Riyadh 4-1 Persepolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 4 Feb 2025

Al Hilal Riyadh
4-1 HT 4-0
Persepolis
📅04/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
AFC Sampiyonlar League – 2024/2025

Al Hilal Riyadh vs Persepolis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.25
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.63
Over 2.5
48%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
5.7
2-3 Goals
41%
2.02
4-5 Goals
20%
2.46
6+ Goals
10%
5.29
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.7 — our 29% vs market 12.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.37
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
23.85
X/1
18%
3.83
X/2
8%
23.0
X/X
10%
9.76
2/1
5%
20.6
2/2
4%
19.0
2/X
6%
27.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
76%
-14.4pp
22%
Draw
15%
+7.6pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
34%
+17.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
66%
-17.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.7pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Hilal Riyadh v Persepolis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Persepolis EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.02/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.49
+3% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -94% / +150%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
454 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
37.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
19.3 Crosses 13.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Al Hilal Riyadh vs Persepolis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Persepolis
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.32 xG 0.28
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
367 Passes 306
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.10.2021 Persepolis Persepolis 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh AŞMP
17.10.2017 Persepolis Persepolis 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh AŞMP
26.09.2017 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 4-0 HT 2-0 Persepolis Persepolis AŞMP
24.04.2017 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 0-0 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis AŞMP
21.02.2017 Persepolis Persepolis 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh AŞMP
26.05.2015 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-0 HT 1-0 Persepolis Persepolis AŞMP

Al Hilal Riyadh 4-1 Persepolis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
4-1
AWAY Persepolis
2.10 xG 0.97
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
553 Passes 333
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Persepolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh ran out comfortable winners over Persepolis 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 60% of the ball to Persepolis's 40%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 2.10 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 0.50 for Persepolis.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Persepolis?

Al Hilal Riyadh 4-1 Persepolis in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Persepolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 61%, draw 22%, Persepolis 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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