Mekelle Kenema 0-1 Welayta Dicha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 4 Feb 2025

📅04/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
31%
2.66
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
71%
Over 2.5
29%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.67
No
67%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 71%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.2pp
31%
Draw
34%
-3.5pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.7pp
33%
BTTS Yes
33%
+0.1pp
67%
BTTS No
67%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelle Kenema EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Welayta Dicha EU Bookmakers 37%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
2.00/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.44
+113% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -64%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelle Kenema
0-1
AWAY Welayta Dicha
48% Ball Possession 52%
1 Total Shots 5
0 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Mekelle Kenema vs Welayta Dicha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welayta Dicha edged past Mekelle Kenema 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Welayta Dicha made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.

On the day, Mekelle Kenema had 48% of the ball to Welayta Dicha's 52%, shots finished 1-5.

What was the final score of Mekelle Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?

Mekelle Kenema 0-1 Welayta Dicha in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelle Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mekelle Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mekelle Kenema 40%, draw 31%, Welayta Dicha 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mekelle Kenema) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mekelle Kenema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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