Carrick Rangers 1-2 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 4 Feb 2025

📅04/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 52%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.49/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.74
+26% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +68%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Larne FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
26.12.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
20.10.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
22.09.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 4-1 HT 3-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
25.02.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-3 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
26.12.2022 Larne FC Larne FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC squeezed past Carrick Rangers 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Carrick Rangers and 1.83 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Larne FC?

Carrick Rangers 1-2 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 32%, draw 25%, Larne FC 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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