Larne FC 0-0 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 30% vs market 27.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.99
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.95
X/1
21%
3.55
X/2
8%
11.6
X/X
13%
5.21
2/1
4%
25.5
2/2
4%
9.98
2/X
9%
18.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
2.60/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.11
+29% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
20.10.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
22.09.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 4-1 HT 3-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
25.02.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-3 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
26.12.2022 Larne FC Larne FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
23.09.2022 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC and Carrick Rangers fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Larne FC carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Larne FC and 0.67 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Larne FC 0-0 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 57%, draw 27%, Carrick Rangers 16%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Larne FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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