Coleraine FC 2-2 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.98
2-3 Goals
45%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.53
6+ Goals
8%
14.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
13%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
1.97/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.46
+22% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ballymena United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.10.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
16.08.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 4-2 HT 1-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
26.12.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 3-1 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
07.11.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-1 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KILK
21.10.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 3-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
04.08.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC and Ballymena United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Coleraine FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coleraine FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.67 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Ballymena United?

Coleraine FC 2-2 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 42%, draw 28%, Ballymena United 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Coleraine FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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