Ballymena United 0-1 Coleraine FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.45
6+ Goals
12%
13.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.34
1/2
8%
30.0
1/X
11%
13.35
X/1
19%
5.13
X/2
11%
5.87
X/X
8%
4.81
2/1 EV+
8%
26.5
2/2
14%
4.04
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.30/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.97
-13% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Coleraine FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 4-2 HT 1-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
26.12.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 3-1 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
07.11.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-1 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KILK
21.10.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 3-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
04.08.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
07.03.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Coleraine FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC edged past Ballymena United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ballymena United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coleraine FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ballymena United and 2.00 for Coleraine FC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Coleraine FC?

Ballymena United 0-1 Coleraine FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Coleraine FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 41%, draw 27%, Coleraine FC 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✗ BTTS Yes
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