Larne FC 1-1 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.36
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 34% vs market 31.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.55
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.35
X/1
12%
3.95
X/2
8%
7.78
X/X
14%
4.41
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
14%
6.47
2/X
7%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.5pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 27%
+13% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
2.21/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.37
+37% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
376 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Crusaders FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
12.01.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
15.12.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
06.10.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
14.04.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
21.01.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC and Crusaders FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Larne FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Larne FC and 0.33 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Crusaders FC?

Larne FC 1-1 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 43%, draw 29%, Crusaders FC 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Larne FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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