Dungannon Swifts 2-0 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 30% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.65
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
21%
4.48
X/2
10%
7.38
X/X
10%
4.98
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
9%
5.32
2/X
9%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.7pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 30%
+15% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
2.33/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.78
+43% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Portadown FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
22.04.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-2 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
24.02.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
02.01.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
04.10.2022 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-1 HT 0-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KILK
23.09.2022 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts beat Portadown FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dungannon Swifts as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 1.33 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Portadown FC?

Dungannon Swifts 2-0 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 50%, draw 26%, Portadown FC 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dungannon Swifts), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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