Glentoran FC 1-1 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.14 — our 29% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.76
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.95
X/1
14%
3.61
X/2
9%
13.45
X/X
10%
6.41
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
6%
10.5
2/X
11%
18.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-11.2pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.1pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
2.32/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.20
+9% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
425 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glentoran FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-3 HT 1-2 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
10.02.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
28.11.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-4 HT 0-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRLCAS
04.11.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 2-3 HT 1-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
30.09.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-1 HT 0-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
18.03.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-4 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glentoran FC vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glentoran FC and Carrick Rangers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Glentoran FC at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Glentoran FC and 1.50 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Glentoran FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Glentoran FC 1-1 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glentoran FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Glentoran FC 54%, draw 25%, Carrick Rangers 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Glentoran FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Larne FC vs Crusaders FC Analysis →
00:00 Ballymena United vs Coleraine FC Analysis →
16:30 Cliftonville vs Glenavon FC Analysis →
17:00 Dungannon Swifts vs Portadown FC Analysis →