Glenavon FC 2-0 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.89
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 31% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.68
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
4%
13.1
X/1
11%
5.4
X/2
15%
5.78
X/X
16%
4.34
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
18%
4.03
2/X
4%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.53/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.66
+8% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Portadown FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.11.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
05.10.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
16.01.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KILK
29.04.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
18.02.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
26.12.2022 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC saw off Portadown FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Glenavon FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portadown FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Glenavon FC and 1.17 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Portadown FC?

Glenavon FC 2-0 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portadown FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 36%, draw 24%, Portadown FC 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Portadown FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portadown FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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