Portadown FC 1-0 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.1
2-3 Goals
46%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
16.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.98
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
16%
4.64
X/2
12%
6.8
X/X
8%
4.51
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
14%
5.09
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
1.42/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.81
-5% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Glenavon FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
16.01.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KILK
29.04.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
18.02.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
26.12.2022 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
30.09.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC squeezed past Glenavon FC 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Portadown FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Portadown FC and 1.00 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Glenavon FC?

Portadown FC 1-0 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portadown FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 46%, draw 23%, Glenavon FC 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portadown FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Portadown FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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