Glenavon FC 0-1 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - League Cup, 16 Jan 2024

📅16/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.14
2-3 Goals
38%
2.07
4-5 Goals
28%
2.5
6+ Goals
14%
5.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.89
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
4%
15.4
X/1
11%
4.11
X/2
5%
11.0
X/X
10%
7.19
2/1
9%
18.65
2/2
13%
7.08
2/X
10%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-11.5pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.2pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.9pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 23%
-71% / -71% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-52% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Portadown FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.04.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
18.02.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
26.12.2022 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
30.09.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
23.04.2022 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
12.02.2022 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 3-0 HT 3-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Glenavon FC
0-1
AWAY Portadown FC
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC squeezed past Glenavon FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Glenavon FC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Glenavon FC had 59% of the ball to Portadown FC's 41%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glenavon FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Glenavon FC and 0.83 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Portadown FC?

Glenavon FC 0-1 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - League Cup on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glenavon FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 49%, draw 24%, Portadown FC 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Glenavon FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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