Carrick Rangers 0-1 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
12.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.61
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.05
X/1
11%
5.55
X/2
9%
5.75
X/X
10%
4.85
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
19%
3.79
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 1/X at 13.05 — our 12% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -11%
1.25/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.44
-16% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.09.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 4-0 HT 2-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
06.04.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-2 HT 3-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
17.02.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-1 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
11.11.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-3 HT 1-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
01.09.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-1 HT 1-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
11.04.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts squeezed past Carrick Rangers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Dungannon Swifts found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carrick Rangers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Carrick Rangers and 1.83 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts?

Carrick Rangers 0-1 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 38%, draw 28%, Dungannon Swifts 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Carrick Rangers), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carrick Rangers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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