Dungannon Swifts 4-0 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.12
6+ Goals
9%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 25% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.39
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
18%
4.32
X/2
9%
8.31
X/X
10%
5.32
2/1
9%
22.3
2/2
12%
5.93
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 28%
+14% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
2.13/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.91
+31% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
316 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-2 HT 3-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
17.02.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-1 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
11.11.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-3 HT 1-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
01.09.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-1 HT 1-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
11.04.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
11.03.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-1 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts ran out comfortable winners over Carrick Rangers 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dungannon Swifts as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carrick Rangers led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 2.00 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?

Dungannon Swifts 4-0 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 47%, draw 27%, Carrick Rangers 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dungannon Swifts), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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