Loughgall FC 0-4 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
51%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
9.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 29% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.18
1/2
7%
21.45
1/X
7%
15.4
X/1
9%
9.78
X/2
21%
4.02
X/X
10%
5.71
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.1
2/X
9%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
51%
Away Win
56%
-4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 60%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +9%
1.79/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.19
+64% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Crusaders FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
46% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
17.02.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
11.11.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
02.09.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
22.06.2019 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC HAZ
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC ran out comfortable winners over Loughgall FC 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Crusaders FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Loughgall FC and 1.75 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Crusaders FC?

Loughgall FC 0-4 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 23%, draw 25%, Crusaders FC 51%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crusaders FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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