Glentoran FC 0-0 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.47
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.83
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
18.5
X/1
20%
3.48
X/2
9%
12.85
X/X
13%
5.73
2/1
11%
24.0
2/2
7%
10.75
2/X
5%
19.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
64%
-13.1pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.4pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
2.52/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.16
+18% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glentoran FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Glenavon FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.03.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
21.10.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 3-1 HT 3-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
05.08.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
10.05.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 5-0 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
11.03.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
28.02.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glentoran FC vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glentoran FC and Glenavon FC played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Glentoran FC at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Glentoran FC and 0.50 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Glentoran FC vs Glenavon FC?

Glentoran FC 0-0 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glentoran FC vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Glentoran FC 51%, draw 28%, Glenavon FC 21%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Glentoran FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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