Coleraine FC 0-3 Linfield FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

Coleraine FC
0-3 HT 0-3
Linfield FC
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✓ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2024/2025

Coleraine FC vs Linfield FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
49%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.57
6+ Goals
7%
14.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.57 — our 25% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.27
1/2
5%
24.0
1/X
4%
15.5
X/1
5%
9.26
X/2
26%
3.95
X/X
15%
4.97
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.24
2/X
6%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-5.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Coleraine FC v Linfield FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 58%
+18% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.30/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.45
+20% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -23%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
208 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Coleraine FC vs Linfield FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Linfield FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.04.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
16.02.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
22.12.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
02.09.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
15.04.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
12.03.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KILK
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Linfield FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC swept aside Coleraine FC 3-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.33 for Linfield FC.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Linfield FC?

Coleraine FC 0-3 Linfield FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Linfield FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 26%, draw 25%, Linfield FC 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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