Linfield FC 2-2 Coleraine FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.38
Over 2.5
48%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.01
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
23%
2.76
6+ Goals
11%
7.24
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.01 — our 26% vs market 15.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.6
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.5
X/1
19%
3.62
X/2
7%
16.05
X/X
10%
7.55
2/1
8%
20.75
2/2
9%
11.85
2/X
6%
19.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-14.6pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.8pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.8pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 15%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
3.04/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.23
+23% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
406 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Coleraine FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.02.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
22.12.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
02.09.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
15.04.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
12.03.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRLK
12.03.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KILK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Linfield FC
2-2
AWAY Coleraine FC
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Coleraine FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC and Coleraine FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Linfield FC carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Linfield FC had 48% of the ball to Coleraine FC's 52%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Linfield FC and 1.17 for Coleraine FC.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Coleraine FC?

Linfield FC 2-2 Coleraine FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Coleraine FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 56%, draw 22%, Coleraine FC 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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