Crusaders FC 2-1 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.97
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.12
6+ Goals
12%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.97 — our 28% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.53
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.55
X/1
20%
4.44
X/2
13%
7.71
X/X
10%
5.3
2/1
6%
22.7
2/2
11%
5.43
2/X
5%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.62/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.32
-5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cliftonville
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-1 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
25.11.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
18.09.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
22.04.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-3 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
13.03.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
26.12.2022 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crusaders FC
2-1
AWAY Cliftonville
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC edged past Cliftonville 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Crusaders FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Crusaders FC had 51% of the ball to Cliftonville's 49%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cliftonville led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Crusaders FC and 2.17 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Cliftonville?

Crusaders FC 2-1 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - Premier League on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 45%, draw 25%, Cliftonville 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crusaders FC), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✓ Over 2.5
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