Glentoran FC 1-2 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.99
2-3 Goals
33%
1.84
4-5 Goals
30%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.87
1/2
8%
22.7
1/X
4%
14.2
X/1
9%
8.09
X/2
21%
4.32
X/X
10%
5.15
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.44
2/X
10%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+5.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 57%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.74/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.57
+46% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +111%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glentoran FC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Larne FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
24.11.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
11.08.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
07.04.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
14.01.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
28.10.2022 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 4-0 HT 1-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glentoran FC vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC nicked a narrow win over Glentoran FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Glentoran FC and 1.67 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Glentoran FC vs Larne FC?

Glentoran FC 1-2 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glentoran FC vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Glentoran FC 29%, draw 24%, Larne FC 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Over 2.5
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