Dungannon Swifts 2-0 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.61
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.87
6+ Goals
13%
8.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.44
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
15%
4.52
X/2
10%
7.98
X/X
9%
5.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.3
2/2
13%
5.36
2/X
9%
13.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.3 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
2.37/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.81
+44% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / +91%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Loughgall FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
26.12.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
25.11.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
19.08.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-2 HT 0-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dungannon Swifts
2-0
AWAY Loughgall FC
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts got the better of Loughgall FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dungannon Swifts as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dungannon Swifts had 48% of the ball to Loughgall FC's 52%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Loughgall FC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 1.67 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Loughgall FC?

Dungannon Swifts 2-0 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 46%, draw 24%, Loughgall FC 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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